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Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002265) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 4 06:45

Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002265) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 17% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50.2x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 36x and even P/E's below 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

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SZSE:002265 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 3rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 37% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 39% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s P/E?

Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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