Is Shanjin International Gold (SZSE:000975) A Risky Investment?
Is Shanjin International Gold (SZSE:000975) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000975) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大衛·伊本說得好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到,山金國際黃金有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000975)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Shanjin International Gold's Net Debt?
什麼是山金國際黃金的淨負債?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shanjin International Gold had CN¥1.16b of debt, an increase on CN¥619.2m, over one year. But it also has CN¥4.04b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.88b net cash.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年9月,山金國際黃金在一年內有11.6元人民幣的債務,比61920萬加元人民幣有所增加。但它也有40.4元人民幣的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲28.8元人民幣。
A Look At Shanjin International Gold's Liabilities
看看山金國際黃金的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanjin International Gold had liabilities of CN¥2.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.53b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.04b in cash and CN¥152.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥353.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,山金國際黃金在12個月內到期的負債爲23.1元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲15.3元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有40.4元人民幣的現金和15270萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多35350萬元人民幣。
This state of affairs indicates that Shanjin International Gold's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥46.9b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, Shanjin International Gold boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種狀況表明,山金國際黃金的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,這家469元人民幣的公司現金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得關注資產負債表。簡而言之,山金國際黃金擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
On top of that, Shanjin International Gold grew its EBIT by 52% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanjin International Gold's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
最重要的是,山金國際黃金在過去十二個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了52%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定山金國際黃金未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Shanjin International Gold may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Shanjin International Gold recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 88% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。Shanjin International Gold的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,山金國際黃金錄得的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的88%,比我們通常預期的要強。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanjin International Gold has net cash of CN¥2.88b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.6b, being 88% of its EBIT. So we don't think Shanjin International Gold's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanjin International Gold .
雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,山金國際黃金的淨現金爲28.8元人民幣,流動資產也比負債多。它以26元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的88%。因此,我們認爲山金國際黃金使用債務沒有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,您應該注意我們在山金國際黃金髮現的1個警告信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好專注於沒有淨負債的公司。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長的記錄)。它是免費的。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。