When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 37x, you may consider AVIC Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600765) as an attractive investment with its 22.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
There hasn't been much to differentiate AVIC Heavy Machinery's and the market's retreating earnings lately. It might be that many expect the company's earnings performance to degrade further, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. At the very least, you'd be hoping that earnings don't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AVIC Heavy Machinery.How Is AVIC Heavy Machinery's Growth Trending?
AVIC Heavy Machinery's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.2%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 77% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 44% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 39%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that AVIC Heavy Machinery's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that AVIC Heavy Machinery currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for AVIC Heavy Machinery that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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