Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (NYSE:AESI) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 37%.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Atlas Energy Solutions as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Atlas Energy Solutions' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Atlas Energy Solutions.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Atlas Energy Solutions' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 67% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 60,997% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 150% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 15%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Atlas Energy Solutions is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Atlas Energy Solutions have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Atlas Energy Solutions maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Atlas Energy Solutions (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Atlas Energy Solutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.