McEwen Mining Inc.'s (NYSE:MUX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does McEwen Mining's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for McEwen Mining as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on McEwen Mining.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For McEwen Mining?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like McEwen Mining's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 47% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 54% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that McEwen Mining's P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that McEwen Mining currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for McEwen Mining (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.