Key Insights
- Institutions' substantial holdings in Guangxi Liugong Machinery implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
- The top 12 shareholders own 51% of the company
- Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company
If you want to know who really controls Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000528), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 37% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).
And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained CN¥814m in market cap last week. The one-year return on investment is currently 89% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.
Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Guangxi Liugong Machinery.
What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Guangxi Liugong Machinery?
Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.
We can see that Guangxi Liugong Machinery does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Guangxi Liugong Machinery's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.
We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Guangxi Liugong Machinery. Our data shows that Guangxi Liugong Group Co., Ltd. is the largest shareholder with 25% of shares outstanding. State Reform Shuangbai Development Fund Management Co., Ltd. is the second largest shareholder owning 3.8% of common stock, and National Council for Social Security Fund holds about 3.4% of the company stock.
After doing some more digging, we found that the top 12 have the combined ownership of 51% in the company, suggesting that no single shareholder has significant control over the company.
Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.
Insider Ownership Of Guangxi Liugong Machinery
The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.
Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.
Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd.. We do note, however, it is possible insiders have an indirect interest through a private company or other corporate structure. It is a pretty big company, so it would be possible for board members to own a meaningful interest in the company, without owning much of a proportional interest. In this case, they own around CN¥11m worth of shares (at current prices). It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.
General Public Ownership
With a 33% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Guangxi Liugong Machinery. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.
Private Company Ownership
It seems that Private Companies own 30%, of the Guangxi Liugong Machinery stock. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.
Next Steps:
It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Guangxi Liugong Machinery better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks for example - Guangxi Liugong Machinery has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.