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DHC Software Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002065) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

DHC Software Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002065) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

東華軟件股份有限公司(深交所:002065)的財務狀況與當前的股價走勢聯繫過於模糊:這隻股票將會如何發展?
Simply Wall St ·  12/04 18:31

DHC SoftwareLtd (SZSE:002065) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 79% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study DHC SoftwareLtd's ROE in this article.

DHC SoftwareLTD(深圳證券交易所:002065)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了79%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究DHC SoftwareLTD的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for DHC SoftwareLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,DHC SoftwareLTD的投資回報率爲:

2.9% = CN¥353m ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

2.9% = 35300萬元人民幣 ÷ 120元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1元人民幣,就會產生0.03元人民幣的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。現在,我們需要評估公司再投資或 「保留」 了多少利潤以用於未來的增長,從而使我們對公司的增長潛力有所了解。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

DHC SoftwareLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.9% ROE

DHC SoftwareLtd的收益增長和2.9%的投資回報率

It is quite clear that DHC SoftwareLtd's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 4.6%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 14% seen by DHC SoftwareLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明顯,DHC SoftwareLTD的投資回報率相當低。即使與4.6%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。因此,說DHC SoftwareLTD五年淨收入下降14%可能是其投資回報率下降的結果,這可能沒有錯。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如-收益保留率低或資本配置不佳。

However, when we compared DHC SoftwareLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將DHC SoftwareLTD的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了2.5%。這非常令人擔憂。

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SZSE:002065 Past Earnings Growth December 4th 2024
SZSE: 002065 過去的收益增長 2024 年 12 月 4 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is DHC SoftwareLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水,還是沼澤的水域在等着你。與其他公司相比,DHC SoftwareLtd的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is DHC SoftwareLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

DHC SoftwareLtd是否在有效使用其留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 38% (where it is retaining 62% of its profits), DHC SoftwareLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管DHC SoftwareLTD的三年派息率中位數爲38%(保留了62%的利潤),但正如我們在上面看到的那樣,DHC SoftwareLTD的收益卻有所下降。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Additionally, DHC SoftwareLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,DHC SoftwareLTD已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心支付股息。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by DHC SoftwareLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for DHC SoftwareLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們認爲DHC SoftwareLTD所表現出的表現可以有多種解釋。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以通過我們的平台免費訪問我們的風險控制面板,查看我們爲DHC SoftwareLTD確定的3種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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