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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) For Its Upcoming Dividend

なぜ今後の配当のために周大福ジュエリーグループ有限公司(HKG:1929)を買い購入するのが理にかなわないか

Simply Wall St ·  12/05 15:34

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited (HKG:1929) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's shares before the 10th of December to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 24th of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.20 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of HK$0.55 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has a trailing yield of approximately 7.9% on its current stock price of HK$6.99. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group distributed an unsustainably high 112% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out 88% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is within usual limits but will limit the company's ability to lift the dividend if there's no growth.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SEHK:1929 Historic Dividend December 5th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks with flat earnings can still be attractive dividend payers, but it is important to be more conservative with your approach and demand a greater margin for safety when it comes to dividend sustainability. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. It's not encouraging to see that Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's earnings are effectively flat over the past five years. It's better than seeing them drop, certainly, but over the long term, all of the best dividend stocks are able to meaningfully grow their earnings per share.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group has delivered an average of 3.8% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments.

Final Takeaway

Has Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Earnings per share have been flat in recent times, which is, we suppose, better than seeing them shrink. Plus, Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group's paying out a high percentage of its earnings and more than half its cash flow. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

So if you're still interested in Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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