What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical (SHSE:603255) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0084 = CN¥18m ÷ (CN¥3.0b - CN¥825m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical has an ROCE of 0.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 5.4%.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 20% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
In Conclusion...
We're a bit apprehensive about Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical because despite more capital being deployed in the business, returns on that capital and sales have both fallen. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 10% over the last year, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
While Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.