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Optimism for Anhui Xinli Finance (SHSE:600318) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for Anhui Xinli Finance (SHSE:600318) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

最近一周,尽管五年来盈利下降,但对新力金融(SHSE:600318)的乐观情绪有所增长。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/06 10:57

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Anhui Xinli Finance share price has climbed 56% in five years, easily topping the market return of 18% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 37%.

一般来说,积极选择股票的目标是找到提供超过市场平均回报的公司。买入被低估的企业是获得超额回报的一种途径。例如,新力金融的股价在五年内上涨了56%,轻松超过了18%的市场回报(不考虑股息)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,股东们仅获得了37%的收益。

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。

While Anhui Xinli Finance made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

尽管新力金融在过去一年中获得了微薄的利润,我们认为市场目前可能更关注的是营收增长。一般来说,我们会将这样的股票与亏损公司放在一起考虑,仅因为利润量如此之低。很难相信在没有增长营收的情况下会有更有利可图的未来。

In the last 5 years Anhui Xinli Finance saw its revenue shrink by 12% per year. Even though revenue hasn't increased, the stock actually gained 9%, per year, during the same period. It's probably worth checking other factors such as the profitability, to try to understand the share price action. It may not be reflecting the revenue.

在过去5年里,新力金融的营业收入每年减少12%。尽管营收没有增长,但股票在同一时期实际上每年增长了9%。值得考虑其他因素,比如盈利能力,以便理解股价变动。股价可能没有反映出营收的情况。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下方图片中看到盈利和营业收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看准确数值)。

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SHSE:600318 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 6th 2024
SHSE:600318 2024年12月6日的收益和营业收入增长

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表实力非常重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能非常值得。

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

It's nice to see that Anhui Xinli Finance shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 37% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 9% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Anhui Xinli Finance (1 is a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到新力金融的股东在过去一年里获得了37%的总股东回报率。这比过去半个世纪的年度回报率9%要好,这意味着公司近期表现更好。鉴于股价动能仍然强劲,值得更仔细地观察股票,以免错失机会。我发现长期来看股价作为业务表现的一种代理是非常有趣的。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。举例来说,我们已经发现了新力金融的2个警示标志(其中1个有点令人不悦),你应该注意。

But note: Anhui Xinli Finance may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

请注意:新力金融可能不是最佳买入股票。所以,看看这份免费的有过去盈利增长(和进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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