Stagnating Palm Oil Production Set To Drive Prices Higher, CPOPC Warns
Stagnating Palm Oil Production Set To Drive Prices Higher, CPOPC Warns
The Council of Palm Oil Producing Countries (CPOPC) predicts that palm oil prices could range between RM4,000 and RM5,000 per tonne in 2025, driven by stagnating production in major markets like Indonesia and Malaysia. According to CPOPC deputy secretary-general Datuk Nageeb Wahab, the global demand for palm oil is set to rise, but stagnating production could lead to a supply shortage, which in turn will push prices higher.
棕榈油生产国理事会(CPOPC)预测,棕榈油价格在2025年可能在每吨4000至5000马币的区间内波动,这主要是由于印度尼西亚和马来西亚等主要市场的生产停滞。根据CPOPC副秘书长Datuk Nageeb Wahab的说法,全球对棕榈油的需求将会增加,但生产停滞可能会导致供应短缺,从而推高价格。
Nageeb pointed out that the current price level of around RM5,000 per tonne might be temporary, largely influenced by the ongoing floods in Malaysia, which have strengthened market sentiment. He also noted that production stagnation, exacerbated by ageing plantations, unpredictable weather, and limited expansion into new areas, will further strain global supply, driving prices upwards.
Nageeb指出,目前约每吨5000马币的价格水平可能是暂时的,这主要受到马来西亚持续洪水的影响,洪水加大了 市场情绪他还提到,因老化种植园、不可预测的天气以及有限的扩展到新区域而加剧的生产停滞,将进一步加剧全球供应的紧张,推动价格上涨。
CPOPC currently comprises Malaysia, Indonesia, Honduras, and Papua New Guinea as full members, with Colombia, Ghana, Nigeria, and the Democratic Republic of Congo as observer members. Nageeb revealed that efforts are being made to include Thailand, the world's third-largest palm oil producer. If successful, this would mean that CPOPC member nations would control 93 to 95 per cent of global palm oil production, significantly increasing their influence in the market.
CPOPC目前包括马来西亚、印度尼西亚、洪都拉斯和巴布亚新几内亚作为正式成员,哥伦比亚、加纳、尼日利亚和刚果民主共和国作为观察员成员。Nageeb透露,正在努力将世界第三大棕榈油生产国泰国纳入其中。如果成功,这将意味着CPOPC成员国将控制93%到95%的全球棕榈油生产,从而大大增强其市场影响力。
"We will have a stronger voice," Nageeb said.
“我们将拥有更强的发言权,”Nageeb说。
Established on Nov 21, 2015, CPOPC is an intergovernmental organisation aimed at fostering cooperation among palm oil-producing nations.
CPOPC于2015年11月21日成立,是一个旨在促进棕榈油生产国之间合作的政府间组织。