Foxconn Industrial Internet (SHSE:601138) Shareholders Have Earned a 28% CAGR Over the Last Three Years
Foxconn Industrial Internet (SHSE:601138) Shareholders Have Earned a 28% CAGR Over the Last Three Years
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601138) share price is up 90% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 18% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 47%, including dividends.
通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但我们许多人都敢于追求更高的回报,自己建立投资组合。例如,工业富联(SHSE:601138)的股价在过去三年中上涨了90%,显然超过了市场约18%的下跌(不包括分红派息)。另一方面,最近的回报并不那么理想,股东的回报仅上涨了47%,包括分红派息。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
让我们长期看一下潜在的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
沃伦·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆与多德维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股票价格并不总是合理地反映了一家企业的价值。考虑市场对一家公司的看法如何转变的一种不完美但简单的方法,是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价的动态进行比较。
During three years of share price growth, Foxconn Industrial Internet achieved compound earnings per share growth of 4.8% per year. In comparison, the 24% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.
在三年的股价增长期间,工业富联每股收益复合增长率为每年4.8%。相比之下,股价每年上涨24%超过了每股收益的增长。这表明市场在经历了过去几年的进展后,对该股票的看法更加乐观。投资者在经历了几年的稳健增长后,往往会对一个业务产生浓厚的兴趣。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。
Dive deeper into Foxconn Industrial Internet's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Foxconn Industrial Internet's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通过查看这个工业富联的互动图表,更深入了解其关键指标,包括收益、营业收入和现金流。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Foxconn Industrial Internet, it has a TSR of 111% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了测量股价回报外,投资者还应该考虑股东总回报(TSR)。 TSR是一种回报计算方法,它考虑到现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣融资和拆分的计算价值。 可以说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了更完整的视角。 在工业富联的案例中,过去三年它的总股东回报率为111%。 这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。 而且,毫无疑问,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that Foxconn Industrial Internet has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 47% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Foxconn Industrial Internet that you should be aware of before investing here.
令人欣慰的是,工业富联在过去12个月里为股东提供了47%的总股东回报。 这包括分红。 这比过去五年每年的年化回报7%要好,暗示公司最近的表现更佳。 鉴于股价动能仍然强劲,值得更仔细审视该股票,以免错失机会。 虽然考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响非常重要,但还有其他因素更为关键。 例如,我们发现工业富联有1个警告信号,您在此投资前需对其保持警觉。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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