Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical Co., Ltd (SHSE:600796) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 53% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 39% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's P/E ratio of 33.7x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 37x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
For instance, Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.8%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 7.4% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's curious that Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Zhejiang Qianjiang Biochemical. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.