Despite an already strong run, Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002547) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 11% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 19% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
The large bounce in Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Suzhou Chunxing Precision Mechanical that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.