share_log

Is Saurer Intelligent Technology (SHSE:600545) A Risky Investment?

Is Saurer Intelligent Technology (SHSE:600545) A Risky Investment?

卓郎智能科技(SHSE:600545)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/09 08:53

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Saurer Intelligent Technology Co. Ltd (SHSE:600545) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,與其擔心股價波動,不如說:'我擔心的風險是永久性損失……而我認識的每一個實際投資者也都在擔心。' 所以看起來聰明的錢知道,債務 - 通常與破產有關 - 是評估公司風險時一個非常重要的因素。 像許多其他公司一樣,卓郎智能科技有限公司(SHSE:600545)也使用了債務。 但真正的問題是,這種債務是否使公司變得有風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

當一家公司不能輕鬆履行其債務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險,尤其是無法用自由現金流或者以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法支付其債權人,就可能破產。 然而,更頻繁但仍然代價高昂的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,只爲增強其資產負債表。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲那些需要資本進行高回報增長投資的企業的極好工具。 在考慮一家公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金與債務一同考慮。

How Much Debt Does Saurer Intelligent Technology Carry?

卓郎智能技術承載多少債務?

As you can see below, Saurer Intelligent Technology had CN¥2.25b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥2.36b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥435.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.81b.

正如您在下面看到的,卓郎智能科技在2024年9月的債務爲22.5億人民幣,比一年前的23.6億人民幣有所減少。 然而,它的現金也爲43500萬人民幣,因此其淨債務爲18.1億人民幣。

big
SHSE:600545 Debt to Equity History December 9th 2024
SHSE:600545 債務與股本歷史 2024年12月9日

How Strong Is Saurer Intelligent Technology's Balance Sheet?

卓郎智能技術的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Saurer Intelligent Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥986.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥435.0m in cash and CN¥3.54b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.32b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

深入了解最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到卓郎智能的負債爲43.1億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲98600萬人民幣。 抵消這一點的是它擁有43500萬人民幣的現金和35.4億人民幣的應收賬款,這些賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出13.2億人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Saurer Intelligent Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥5.11b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Saurer Intelligent Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

雖然這看起來很高,但因爲卓郎智能的市值爲51.1億人民幣,所以如果需要的話它可能通過融資來增強資產負債表。但顯然,我們應該認真審查它是否能在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的開始。但卓郎智能的盈利將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,查看盈利趨勢絕對是值得的。點擊這裏查看互動快照。

In the last year Saurer Intelligent Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 22%, to CN¥4.6b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去一年裏,卓郎智能技術出現了利息和稅前虧損,並實際上減少了22%的營業收入,達到46億人民幣。這讓我們感到非常緊張。

Caveat Emptor

買者自負盈虧

While Saurer Intelligent Technology's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥48m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CN¥132m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Saurer Intelligent Technology has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

雖然卓郎智能的營業收入下降聽起來像是潮溼的毛毯,但可以說它的息稅前損失(EBIT)更令人不快。實際上,它在EBIT層面虧損了4800萬人民幣。當我們看着這些並回憶其資產負債表上的負債時,相對現金來說,這家公司有債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲它的資產負債表有點吃緊,但還不至於無法修復。如果它能把過去十二個月的13200萬人民幣的虧損轉爲盈利,我們會感到更好。所以我們認爲這隻股票相當高風險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的開始。然而,並非所有的投資風險都集中於資產負債表上,遠非如此。例如,卓郎智能有2個警告信號,我們認爲您應該關注。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論