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Cincinnati Financial Corporation's (NASDAQ:CINF) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

シンシナティファイナンシャルコーポレーション(ナスダック:CINF)の株は市場に遅れをとっていますが、ビジネスも同様です。

Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/09 21:57

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.9x Cincinnati Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:CINF) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 36x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Cincinnati Financial has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

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NasdaqGS:CINF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 9th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Cincinnati Financial.

How Is Cincinnati Financial's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Cincinnati Financial's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 84% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 50% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Cincinnati Financial's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Cincinnati Financial's P/E

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Cincinnati Financial maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Cincinnati Financial that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Cincinnati Financial. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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