Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 21% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Panda Dairy's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.3x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 37x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Panda Dairy certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Panda Dairy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Panda Dairy's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 15% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Panda Dairy is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Panda Dairy appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Panda Dairy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Panda Dairy has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Panda Dairy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.