Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000807) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Yunnan Aluminium's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yunnan Aluminium had debt of CN¥3.71b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥4.47b over a year. However, it does have CN¥8.20b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.49b.
How Strong Is Yunnan Aluminium's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yunnan Aluminium had liabilities of CN¥8.06b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.51b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥8.20b and CN¥966.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.41b.
Given Yunnan Aluminium has a market capitalization of CN¥48.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Yunnan Aluminium also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, Yunnan Aluminium grew its EBIT by 55% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yunnan Aluminium can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Yunnan Aluminium has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Yunnan Aluminium generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 96% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Yunnan Aluminium has CN¥4.49b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 96% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥6.3b. So is Yunnan Aluminium's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Yunnan Aluminium that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.