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Retirees: Is TELUS Stock a Risky Buy?

Retirees: Is TELUS Stock a Risky Buy?

退休人员:泰勒斯股票是一个风险较高的买入吗?
The Motley Fool ·  12/10 18:00

TELUS (TSX:T) stock has long been considered a staple in Canadian portfolios, particularly for those seeking steady income through dividends. Yet with more risk among telecom companies, should retirees rethink their investment? Let's take a look at TELUS stock to see whether it's still a buy for retirees.

泰勒斯(TSX:T)股票长期以来被认为是加拿大投资组合中的一项重要资产,尤其对于寻求通过分红派息获得稳定收入的投资者。然而,在电信公司面临更多风险的情况下,退休人士是否需要重新考虑他们的投资?让我们来看看泰勒斯股票,以判断它是否仍然适合退休人士买入。

The numbers

数字

Recently, TELUS stock reported its third-quarter 2024 earnings, which showcased strong operational performance. Net income surged by an impressive 88% year-over-year to $923 million, with earnings per share climbing 111%. This growth reflects TELUS stock's ability to manage its core businesses effectively and capitalize on its expanding customer base. For retirees, this kind of earnings momentum can be encouraging, as it suggests a level of stability and resilience that aligns well with the needs of income-focused investors.

最近,泰勒斯股票公布了2024年第三季度的财报,展现出强劲的运营表现。净利润同比激增88%,达到92300万, 每股收益增长111%。这一增长反映了泰勒斯在有效管理其核心业务和利用扩大的客户基础方面的能力。对于退休人士而言,这种盈利势头可以令人鼓舞,因为它表明了一个与以收入为焦点的投资者的需求相一致的稳定性和韧性。

One of Telus' most attractive features is its dividend yield, which currently stands at a substantial 7.3%. With a forward annual dividend of $1.61 per share, this is undeniably appealing for those relying on investment income during retirement. However, TELUS stock's payout ratio of 242.9% raises a cautionary flag.

泰勒斯最吸引人的特点之一是其分红派息收益率,目前为7.3%。以每股1.61美元的前瞻性年分红派息,对于在退休期间依赖投资收入的人来说,这无疑是极具吸引力的。然而,泰勒斯股票的派息比率为242.9%,这引发了警示。

A payout ratio above 100% means the company is paying out more in dividends than it earns in profits. While this doesn't immediately signal danger, it does mean TELUS stock relies on other sources, like cash flow or borrowing, to sustain its dividend payments. This can be risky if financial conditions change, such as a tightening credit environment or unexpected operational challenges.

超过100%的分红比率意味着公司支付的分红超过了盈利。虽然这并不立即意味着危险,但确实意味着泰勒斯股票依赖于其他来源,比如现金流或借款,以维持其分红支付。如果金融环境发生变化,比如信贷环境收紧或意外的运营挑战,这可能是有风险的。

Do the books balance?

账目平衡吗?

TELUS stock does have significant debt, with total borrowings of $29.1 billion and a debt-to-equity ratio of 171.6%. While the telecommunications sector is often associated with high capital expenditures and debt levels, these figures are particularly high. Retirees need to consider how these obligations could impact the company's financial flexibility, especially during economic downturns. That said, TELUS stock's operating cash flow of $5.1 billion and levered free cash flow of $1.4 billion provide some reassurance.

泰勒斯股票确实有相当大的债务,总借款为291亿,债务与股本比率为171.6%。虽然电信行业通常与高资本支出和债务水平相关联,但这些数字尤其高。退休人员需要考虑这些义务可能如何影响公司的财务灵活性,特别是在经济衰退期间。不过,泰勒斯股票的营业现金流为51亿,杠杆自由现金流为14亿,提供了一些保证。

Still, some investors may see this as an opportunity to buy at a discount. However, TELUS stock's valuation metrics indicate a mixed picture. Its trailing price/earnings (P/E) ratio of 35.1 is on the high side, thus suggesting that investors are paying a premium for its earnings. The forward P/E of 21.7 implies expectations of earnings growth. Yet it may also reflect a degree of market optimism that retirees should carefully weigh against the underlying risks.

尽管如此,一些投资者可能会将其视为以折扣价购入的机会。然而,泰勒斯股票的估值指标显示出一种混合的情况。其市盈率(P/E)为35.1,处于高位,暗示投资者为其盈利支付了溢价。未来市盈率为21.7,暗示盈利增长的预期。然而,这也可能反映出一种市场乐观情绪,退休人员应谨慎权衡潜在风险。

What to watch

观看建议

Despite these financial challenges, TELUS stock has demonstrated strong growth in its customer base. In the most recent quarter, the company added 347,000 new mobile and fixed customers, an 8.5% increase over the previous year. This growth highlights Telus' ability to attract and retain customers in a competitive market, which bodes well for its revenue stability.

尽管面临这些财务挑战,泰勒斯股票在其客户基础上表现出了强劲的增长。在最近一个季度,公司新增了347,000个移动和固定客户,同比增加了8.5%。这种增长突显了泰勒斯在竞争激烈的市场中吸引和留住客户的能力,这为其营业收入稳定性提供了良好的前景。

Telecommunications is a necessity in today's connected world, and companies like TELUS stock benefit from predictable demand. Furthermore, TELUS stock has diversified its revenue streams beyond traditional telecom services, with ventures into digital healthcare and international operations. These initiatives could provide long-term growth opportunities, further enhancing the company's resilience.

在当今互联世界中,电信服务是一种必需品,像泰勒斯这样的公司受益于可预测的需求。此外,泰勒斯股票将其营业收入来源多样化,超越了传统的电信服务,涉足数字医疗和国际业务。这些举措可能为长期增长机会提供支持,进一步增强公司的弹性。

The stock's beta of 0.72 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a potentially less risky option for retirees who prioritize stability. While the overall market can be turbulent, TELUS stock's price movements are relatively subdued, which is advantageous for those who prefer steady investments.

该股票的贝塔系数为0.72,表明与更广泛的市场相比波动性较低,这使其成为优先考虑稳定性的退休人员的潜在低风险选择。虽然整体市场可能动荡不定,但泰勒斯股票的价格波动相对温和,这对那些偏好稳健投资的人来说是有利的。

Bottom line

底线

TELUS stock is not without its risks, but it remains a compelling option for retirees seeking income and moderate growth. Its dividend yield and industry position make it appealing, but its high debt and payout ratio warrant a cautious approach. Retirees considering Telus should ensure it fits within a diversified portfolio and aligns with their risk tolerance and income needs. Consulting with a financial advisor can provide tailored guidance to help navigate these complexities.

泰勒斯的股票并非没有风险,但对于寻求收入和适度增长的养老人士来说,它仍然是一个引人注目的选择。它的分红派息收益率和行业地位使其具有吸引力,但其高债务和派息比率要求采取谨慎的态度。考虑投资泰勒斯的养老人士应确保其符合多元化投资组合,并与他们的 风险承受能力 和收入需求相一致。咨询财务顾问可以提供量身定制的指导,帮助应对这些复杂情况。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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