It's not a stretch to say that Informatica Inc.'s (NYSE:INFA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Software industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Informatica's Recent Performance Look Like?
Informatica could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Informatica will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Informatica?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Informatica's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.0% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 17% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.6% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Informatica's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
When you consider that Informatica's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Informatica that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Informatica, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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