SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301073) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?
SSAW Hotels & Resorts Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301073) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?
Most readers would already be aware that SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's (SZSE:301073) stock increased significantly by 70% over the past three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's ROE in this article.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is:
3.3% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥964m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 3.3% ROE
It is hard to argue that SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.0%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's five year net income decline of 18% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.
However, when we compared SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 11% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
With a high three-year median payout ratio of 95% (implying that 5.4% of the profits are retained), most of SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
Moreover, SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 105% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
Summary
Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on SSAW Hotels & Resorts GroupLtd. The low ROE, combined with the fact that the company is paying out almost if not all, of its profits as dividends, has resulted in the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.