What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Shanghai Yahong Moulding (SHSE:603159) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Shanghai Yahong Moulding:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.046 = CN¥23m ÷ (CN¥634m - CN¥128m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Shanghai Yahong Moulding has an ROCE of 4.6%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.5%, it's still a low return by itself.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Shanghai Yahong Moulding's past further, check out this free graph covering Shanghai Yahong Moulding's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Shanghai Yahong Moulding Tell Us?
Over the past five years, Shanghai Yahong Moulding's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Shanghai Yahong Moulding to be a multi-bagger going forward.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Yahong Moulding's ROCE
In summary, Shanghai Yahong Moulding isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has gained an impressive 57% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Shanghai Yahong Moulding that you might find interesting.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.