2025 Could Be a Breakthrough Year for Shopify Stock: Here's Why
2025 Could Be a Breakthrough Year for Shopify Stock: Here's Why
It's been a magnificent year for Shopify (TSX:SHOP) stock, now up well over 63% year to date, beating the TSX Index by a wide margin. Despite the latest run-up, shares may still prove cheap relative to its long-term growth trajectory. Undoubtedly, the company stands out as a significant beneficiary as valuable new generative artificial intelligence (gen AI) technologies and tools work their way into the ecosystem.
對於Shopify(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:SHOP)而言,今年迄今已上漲63%以上,大幅超過多倫多證券交易所指數。儘管最近出現了上漲,但相對於其長期增長軌跡,股票可能仍很便宜。毫無疑問,隨着寶貴的新一代人工智能(gen AI)技術和工具進入生態系統,該公司脫穎而出,成爲重要的受益者。
Indeed, Shopify stands out as a firm that can augment customers in a way that allows them to drive revenues and margins simultaneously. Indeed, large language models (LLMs) can do many impressive things, including writing poems or even helping with homework. That said, the real test, I believe, is how LLMs can help firms improve their business fundamentals via automation and optimization.
事實上,Shopify作爲一家可以增加客戶的方式來增加客戶的公司脫穎而出,使他們能夠同時提高收入和利潤。事實上,大型語言模型(LLM)可以做許多令人印象深刻的事情,包括寫詩甚至幫助做作業。話雖如此,我相信真正的考驗是LLM如何通過自動化和優化幫助企業改善業務基礎。
Indeed, if the AI revolution carries over the next couple of years, the applications had better start generating enormous profits for more firms than just the AI accelerator makers themselves. In other words, there had better be some massive winners from this AI gold rush other than the so-called "pick-and-shovel" plays.
事實上,如果人工智能革命持續到未來幾年,那麼這些應用程序最好開始爲更多的公司帶來巨額利潤,而不僅僅是人工智能加速器製造商本身。換句話說,除了所謂的 「撿鏟子」 遊戲之外,這場人工智能淘金熱中最好有一些大贏家。
Indeed, much of the cash during the actual gold rush was made via the firms that sold the equipment to gold prospectors. For the AI scene, the big question is how far and wide the benefits will run. There's ample opportunity for e-commerce firms like Shopify to benefit significantly from what some may call the "next phase" of the AI boom.
事實上,在實際淘金熱期間,大部分現金是通過向黃金勘探者出售設備的公司獲得的。對於人工智能領域,最大的問題是收益將持續多遠和廣泛。像Shopify這樣的電子商務公司有充足的機會從某些人所謂的人工智能繁榮的 「下一階段」 中受益匪淺。
A massive upgrade from Loop Capital
來自 Loop Capital 的大規模升級
Recently, shares of Shopify received a pretty big upgrade from an analyst named Anthony Chukumba over at Loop Capital.
最近,Loop Capital的一位名叫安東尼·丘昆巴的分析師對Shopify的股票進行了相當大的升級。
Mr. Chukumba hiked his price target on SHOP stock by a whopping US$30 to US$140 per share (that works out to just shy of CA$200 per share) while upgrading the rating to buy from hold (the equivalent of overweight from equal-weight). What's the reason behind the significant upgrade?
Chukumba先生將SHOP股票的目標股價上調了高達30美元,至每股140美元(相當於每股略低於200加元),同時將評級上調至持有買入(相當於等權重的增持)。重大升級背後的原因是什麼?
He's a big fan of Shopify's ability to use AI to improve the lives of its merchants. Notably, he sees personalized response recommendations as having the potential to jolt growth.
他是Shopify使用人工智能改善商家生活的能力的忠實擁護者。值得注意的是,他認爲個性化回覆建議有可能推動增長。
He's right on the money. The AI personalization factor will eventually benefit a broader range of businesses. Shopify seems like one of the ships poised to rise sooner than most others in the sea. In numerous prior pieces, I urged investors not to discount the company's footing in the AI race. Mr. Chukumba's latest upgrade reinforces my already bullish stance on Shopify stock as it looks to enter a big year for AI.
他在錢上說得對。人工智能個性化因素最終將使更廣泛的企業受益。Shopify 似乎是其中一艘有望比海上其他船更快升起的船隻。在之前的許多文章中,我敦促投資者不要低估該公司在人工智能競賽中的立足點。Chukumba先生的最新升級強化了我對Shopify股票本已看漲的立場,因爲該股有望進入人工智能的重要一年。
Shopify stock is pricey, but the AI catalysts are real
Shopify 股票價格昂貴,但人工智能催化劑是真實存在的
Now, it's hard to tell just how much AI hype has worked its way into the valuation after the latest upside surge. The stock isn't cheap at more than 105 times trailing price to earnings (P/E). Things aren't much better on a forward-looking basis, with SHOP stock going for 80 times forward P/E.
現在,很難說在最近的上行飆升之後,人工智能的炒作在多大程度上影響了估值。該股並不便宜,超過追蹤股價與收益(P/E)的105倍。從前瞻來看,情況並沒有好多少,SHOP股票的遠期市盈率爲80倍。
Undoubtedly, there's a much higher bar set for Shopify in the new year. But if Shopify can get the personalized AI opportunity right, perhaps shares could continue rolling towards that $200 mark and, just maybe, new all-time highs of around $215 per share.
毫無疑問,在新的一年裏,Shopify的門檻要高得多。但是,如果Shopify能夠抓住個性化的人工智能機會,也許股價可能會繼續跌至200美元大關,也許還會創下每股215美元左右的歷史新高。
As AI personalization catalysts propel Shopify and its peers in the new year, while holiday sales numbers eventually flow in, I think it's tough to overlook Shopify stock any longer. Arguably, it's one of Canada's most magnificent stocks.
隨着人工智能個性化催化劑在新的一年裏推動Shopify及其同行,而假日銷售數字最終會流入,我認爲再也不能忽視Shopify的股票了。可以說,它是加拿大最宏偉的股票之一。