The OFILM Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002456) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 58% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, OFILM Group may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.6x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
SZSE:002456 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 12th 2024
What Does OFILM Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, OFILM Group has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think OFILM Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as OFILM Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 38% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 28% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 27% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we can see why OFILM Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From OFILM Group's P/S?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, OFILM Group's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As expected, our analysis of OFILM Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for OFILM Group (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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