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Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

Prada S.p.A.'s (HKG:1913) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

普拉達S.p.A.(HKG:1913)的股票表現強勁:市場是否跟隨基本面?
Simply Wall St ·  17:03

Prada's (HKG:1913) stock is up by a considerable 26% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Prada's ROE.

普拉達(HKG: 1913)的股票在過去三個月中上漲了26%。鑑於公司的出色表現,我們決定更仔細地研究其財務指標,因爲公司的長期財務狀況通常決定市場業績。在本文中,我們決定重點關注普拉達的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或投資回報率是股東要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本再投資的有效性。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Prada is:

因此,根據上述公式,Prada的投資回報率爲:

19% = €752m ÷ €3.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

19% = 75200萬歐元 ÷ 39歐元(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.19.

「回報」 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。因此,這意味着該公司每投資1港元,就會產生0.19港元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,ROE衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他一切都保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Prada's Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

普拉達的收益增長和19%的投資回報率的並排比較

To start with, Prada's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This certainly adds some context to Prada's exceptional 39% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

首先,普拉達的投資回報率似乎可以接受。特別是與行業平均水平的11%相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。這無疑爲Prada在過去五年中驚人的39%淨收入增長增添了一些背景信息。但是,這種增長背後可能還有其他原因。例如,公司的管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率很低。

As a next step, we compared Prada's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 15%.

下一步,我們將Prada的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長高於15%的行業平均增長。

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SEHK:1913 Past Earnings Growth December 13th 2024
SEHK: 1913 過去的收益增長 2024 年 12 月 13 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Prada is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查Prada相對於其行業是以高市盈率還是低市盈率進行交易。

Is Prada Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

普拉達是否在有效利用其利潤?

Prada has a three-year median payout ratio of 48% (where it is retaining 52% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Prada is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

普拉達的三年派息率中位數爲48%(保留了收入的52%),既不太低也不會太高。從表面上看,股息覆蓋範圍很大,Prada正在有效地對其利潤進行再投資,我們上面討論的其非凡增長就證明了這一點。

Besides, Prada has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 53% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Prada's future ROE will be 20% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

此外,Prada支付股息已有至少十年或更長時間。這表明該公司致力於與股東分享利潤。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司預計將在未來三年內繼續支付約53%的利潤。因此,預測表明,普拉達未來的投資回報率將爲20%,與當前的投資回報率相似。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with Prada's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們對Prada的表現非常滿意。特別是,我們喜歡該公司對其業務進行大量再投資,而且回報率很高。毫不奇怪,這帶來了令人印象深刻的收益增長。既然如此,對分析師最新預測的研究表明,預計該公司未來的收益增長將放緩。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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