share_log

Further Upside For Champions Oncology, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSBR) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 38% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  07:58

Champions Oncology, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSBR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 37%.

Although its price has surged higher, Champions Oncology may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Life Sciences industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

big
NasdaqCM:CSBR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 14th 2024

What Does Champions Oncology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Champions Oncology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Champions Oncology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Champions Oncology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.0% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 21% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.0% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Champions Oncology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Champions Oncology's P/S?

Champions Oncology's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

A look at Champions Oncology's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Champions Oncology you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment