Despite an already strong run, LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPTH) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 39% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 76% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking LightPath Technologies is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.8x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does LightPath Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
LightPath Technologies could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on LightPath Technologies.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, LightPath Technologies would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.0%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why LightPath Technologies is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On LightPath Technologies' P/S
LightPath Technologies shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that LightPath Technologies maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Electronic industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for LightPath Technologies (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of LightPath Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.