If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKG:9922), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Jiumaojiu International Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = CN¥503m ÷ (CN¥6.5b - CN¥1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has an ROCE of 10.0%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 6.9% generated by the Hospitality industry, it's much better.
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Jiumaojiu International Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Jiumaojiu International Holdings .
What Can We Tell From Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ROCE Trend?
In terms of Jiumaojiu International Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 33%, but since then they've fallen to 10.0%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 23% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Jiumaojiu International Holdings is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 70% in the last three years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
Jiumaojiu International Holdings does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiumaojiu International Holdings that you might be interested in.
While Jiumaojiu International Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.