Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd (SHSE:600967) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.034 = CN¥415m ÷ (CN¥20b - CN¥7.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd has an ROCE of 3.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 5.2%.
In the above chart we have measured Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd for free.
What Can We Tell From Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd's ROCE Trend?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd in recent years. The company has employed 28% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 3.4%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last five years, the reduction in current liabilities to 38% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. This can eliminate some of the risks inherent in the operations because the business has less outstanding obligations to their suppliers and or short-term creditors than they did previously.
The Key Takeaway
Long story short, while Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
Inner Mongolia First Machinery GroupLtd does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.