agilon health, inc. (NYSE:AGL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 42% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 83% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think agilon health is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have P/S ratios above 1.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does agilon health's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, agilon health has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on agilon health will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, agilon health would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 54% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 231% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.7% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that agilon health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does agilon health's P/S Mean For Investors?
agilon health's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
To us, it seems agilon health currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
Having said that, be aware agilon health is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.