Ningbo Fuda Company Limited (SHSE:600724) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 59% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, Ningbo Fuda may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 37x and even P/E's lower than 21x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
It looks like earnings growth has deserted Ningbo Fuda recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring earnings performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
SHSE:600724 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 16th 2024 Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningbo Fuda, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ningbo Fuda would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 42% decline in EPS over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 38% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Ningbo Fuda's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Ningbo Fuda's P/E?
Ningbo Fuda's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Ningbo Fuda revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Ningbo Fuda (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Ningbo Fuda. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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