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Recent 8.5% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD (SZSE:002428) Shareholders, They're Still up 170% Over 5 Years

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 16 11:14

When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. Long term Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium Industry Co.,LTD (SZSE:002428) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 169% in five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 92% gain in the last three months.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.5%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

We don't think that Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last 5 years Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD saw its revenue grow at 5.8% per year. Put simply, that growth rate fails to impress. In comparison, the share price rise of 22% per year over the last half a decade is pretty impressive. Shareholders should be pretty happy with that, although interested investors might want to examine the financial data more closely to see if the gains are really justified. It may be that the market is pretty optimistic about Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SZSE:002428 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 16th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 67% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 22% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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