Gold Poised For Its Best Year In A Decade While Bitcoin Surges: Analysts Eye 2025 As A Golden Era For Precious Metal Amid Michael Saylor's Push For BTC As A Reserve Asset
Gold Poised For Its Best Year In A Decade While Bitcoin Surges: Analysts Eye 2025 As A Golden Era For Precious Metal Amid Michael Saylor's Push For BTC As A Reserve Asset
Analysts predict a good year for gold in 2025 after it's poised for the best annual performance in over a decade in 2024. However, Michael Saylor, co-founder and executive chairman of MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR), has called for a dramatic shift in U.S. economic strategy, urging the country to abandon gold as a reserve asset in favor of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC).
分析师预测,2025年黄金将迎来丰收的一年,此前黄金有望在2024年创下十多年来的最佳年度表现。但是,微策略公司(纳斯达克股票代码:MSTR)的联合创始人兼执行董事长迈克尔·塞勒呼吁美国经济战略发生重大转变,敦促该国放弃将黄金作为储备资产,转而使用比特币(加密货币:BTC)。
What Happened: The World Gold Council in its 2025 outlook has outlined three scenarios for the precious metal in the upcoming year. According to them, gold will "remain rangebound" if existing market expectations are correct.
发生了什么:世界黄金协会在其2025年展望中概述了来年贵金属的三种情景。他们认为,如果现有的市场预期是正确的,黄金将 “保持区间波动”。
Explaining its rationale for the rangebound assertion, the council notes that "a combination of higher rates and lower economic growth could negatively affect investors and consumers."
该委员会在解释其区间波动主张的理由时指出,“更高的利率和较低的经济增长相结合,可能会对投资者和消费者产生负面影响。”
On the flip side, "significantly lower interest rates or a deterioration in geopolitics or market conditions will improve gold's performance."
另一方面,“大幅降低利率或地缘政治或市场状况恶化将改善黄金的表现。”
JPMorgan has said that it expects gold prices to "find continued support from central banks, particularly in emerging markets. Critically, gold—the original safe-haven asset—can serve as an attractive hedge against both geopolitical risk and uncertainty around sovereign debt and deficits."
摩根大通曾表示,预计黄金价格将 “得到中央银行的持续支持,尤其是在新兴市场。至关重要的是,黄金——最初的避险资产——可以作为一种有吸引力的对冲工具,以抵御地缘政治风险以及主权债务和赤字的不确定性。”
Goldman Sachs, on the other hand, forecasts gold prices will reach $2,700 by early next year, "buoyed by interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and gold purchases by emerging market central banks. The metal could get an additional boost if the U.S. imposes new financial sanctions or if concerns mount about the U.S. debt burden."
另一方面,高盛预测,到明年初,金价将达到2700美元,“受美联储降息和新兴市场中央银行购买黄金的推动。如果美国实施新的金融制裁或对美国债务负担的担忧加剧,则该金属可能会获得额外的提振。”
Bitcoin Bulls Disagree
比特币多头不同意
Despite a largely positive outlook for gold in 2025, few Bitcoin bulls think differently. Speaking on an episode of the Galaxy Brains podcast, Saylor labeled gold as a "shiny dead rock."
尽管2025年黄金前景基本乐观,但很少有比特币多头有不同的看法。在Galaxy Brains播客的一集中发表讲话时,塞勒将黄金标记为 “闪亮的死石”。
"If you want to elevate the U.S.'s economic leadership in the world, there are two very simple strategies," Saylor said. "Dump the gold and buy Bitcoin."
“如果你想提升美国的地位。”作为世界经济领导者,有两种非常简单的策略,” 塞勒说。“抛售黄金并购买比特币。”
He suggested that replacing gold with Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset would allow the U.S. to demonetize gold—an asset heavily held by rival nations—and capitalize on Bitcoin's growth potential.
他建议,用比特币代替黄金作为战略储备资产将使美国能够将黄金——一种由敌对国家大量持有的资产——取消货币化,并利用比特币的增长潜力。
Price Action: Gold spot prices have risen by 28.63% year-to-date, according to Benzinga Pro data. This is gold's best performance since 2007 when gold surged by over 31%.
价格走势:根据Benzinga Pro的数据,今年迄今为止,黄金现货价格已上涨28.63%。这是自2007年金价飙升超过31%以来黄金的最佳表现。
Here's how a few other gold ETFs have performed this year.
以下是今年其他几只黄金ETF的表现。
ETFs | YTD Performance |
Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:FGDL) | 29.07% |
iShares Gold Trust Micro (NYSE:IAUM) | 28.52% |
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (NYSE:GLDM) | 28.55% |
Aberdeen Physical Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:SGOL) | 28.46% |
交易所买卖基金 | 年度业绩 |
富兰克林负责任采购黄金ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:FGDL) | 29.07% |
iShares Gold Trust Micro(纽约证券交易所代码:IAUM) | 28.52% |
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust(纽约证券交易所代码:GLDM) | 28.55% |
安本实物黄金股票ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:SGOL) | 28.46% |

In comparison, Bitcoin ETFs have surged over four times during the same period.
相比之下,比特币ETF在同期飙升了四倍多。
ETF | YTD Performance |
Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:FBTC) | 138.83% |
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (NYSE:BITC) | 123.13% |
ETF | 年度业绩 |
富兰克林负责任采购黄金ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:FBTC) | 138.83% |
Grayscale 比特币迷你信托(纽约证券交易所代码:BITC) | 123.13% |

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Photo courtesy: Shutterstock
照片来源:Shutterstock