Anhui Xinke New Materials Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600255) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 41%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S ratio of 1.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Metals and Mining industry in China is about the same. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd Has Been Performing
Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 29% last year. As a result, it also grew revenue by 22% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.