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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603081) 37% Share Price Surge

投資家がZhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd(SHSE:603081)による37%の株価上昇に驚くべきではない理由

Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/17 06:17

Despite an already strong run, Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd (SHSE:603081) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may consider Zhejiang Dafeng Industry as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SHSE:603081 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 16th 2024

What Does Zhejiang Dafeng Industry's Recent Performance Look Like?

Zhejiang Dafeng Industry could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zhejiang Dafeng Industry.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Zhejiang Dafeng Industry's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 49%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 49% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 82% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 35% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Dafeng Industry is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Zhejiang Dafeng Industry's P/S Mean For Investors?

Zhejiang Dafeng Industry's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look into Zhejiang Dafeng Industry shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Dafeng Industry (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Dafeng Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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