Despite an already strong run, OPT Machine Vision Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688686) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, OPT Machine Vision Tech may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does OPT Machine Vision Tech's Recent Performance Look Like?
OPT Machine Vision Tech could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on OPT Machine Vision Tech will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
OPT Machine Vision Tech's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 32% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 27%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why OPT Machine Vision Tech's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does OPT Machine Vision Tech's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in OPT Machine Vision Tech have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look into OPT Machine Vision Tech shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - OPT Machine Vision Tech has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.