With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.6x Jiangsu Guotai International Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002091) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 38x and even P/E's higher than 75x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Jiangsu Guotai International Group has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu Guotai International Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Jiangsu Guotai International Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangsu Guotai International Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 16%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.6% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 25% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 38% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Guotai International Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Guotai International Group's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Jiangsu Guotai International Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jiangsu Guotai International Group (including 1 which is significant).
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.