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Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002777) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 16, 2024 16:44

Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd (SZSE:002777) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 53% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd is:

4.5% = CN¥79m ÷ CN¥1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

It is hard to argue that Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's ROE is much good in and of itself. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 4.5%. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 3.7% seen by Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd was possibly a result of the disappointing ROE.

That being said, we compared Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.1% in the same 5-year period.

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SZSE:002777 Past Earnings Growth December 17th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 28% (where it is retaining 72% of its profits), Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd has paid dividends over a period of nine years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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