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Is Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600738) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 16 20:34

Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's (SHSE:600738) stock is up by a considerable 81% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd is:

5.2% = CN¥102m ÷ CN¥2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.2% ROE

On the face of it, Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 3.7%, is definitely interesting. However, Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's five year net income decline rate was 29%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.

Next, when we compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 13% in the same 5-year period, we still found Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's performance to be quite bleak, because the company has been shrinking its earnings faster than the industry.

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SHSE:600738 Past Earnings Growth December 17th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 25% (or a retention ratio of 75%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Lanzhou Lishang Guochao Industrial GroupLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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