Despite an already strong run, eHealth, Inc. (NASDAQ:EHTH) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 61% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, it would still be understandable if you think eHealth is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.5x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Insurance industry have P/S ratios above 1.1x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How eHealth Has Been Performing
There hasn't been much to differentiate eHealth's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think eHealth's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
eHealth's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 21% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.5% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that eHealth's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What Does eHealth's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift eHealth's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
eHealth's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for eHealth that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.