If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the TransUnion (NYSE:TRU) share price is up 43% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 26% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! Zooming out, the stock is actually down 14% in the last three years.
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
TransUnion went from making a loss to reporting a profit, in the last year.
While it's good to see positive EPS of US$1.15 this year, the loss wasn't too bad last year. We'd argue the positive share price reflects the move to profitability. Inflection points like this can be a great time to take a closer look at a company.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that TransUnion has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that TransUnion shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 44% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand TransUnion better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with TransUnion (including 1 which is significant) .
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
