Hunan Changyuan Lico Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688779) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electrical industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd Performed Recently?
Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd?
Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 55%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 12% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 89% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 25%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Hunan Changyuan LicoLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.