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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Zhejiang Taifu Pump Co., Ltd (SZSE:300992) After Shares Rise 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 22, 2024 16:03

Despite an already strong run, Zhejiang Taifu Pump Co., Ltd (SZSE:300992) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 36x, you may consider Zhejiang Taifu Pump as a stock to avoid entirely with its 66.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zhejiang Taifu Pump over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SZSE:300992 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Taifu Pump will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Zhejiang Taifu Pump?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Taifu Pump would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 54% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Taifu Pump is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Zhejiang Taifu Pump's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Zhejiang Taifu Pump currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Taifu Pump that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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