There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About General Dynamics' (NYSE:GD) Returns On Capital
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About General Dynamics' (NYSE:GD) Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at General Dynamics (NYSE:GD), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
如果我们想要识别下一个多倍回报的股票,有几个关键趋势需要关注。首先,我们希望识别一个日益增长的资本回报率 (ROCE),以及不断增加的资本基础。如果你看到这些,通常意味着这是一个拥有良好商业模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。不过,当我们查看通用动力 (纽交所:GD) 时,它似乎并没有满足所有这些条件。
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
资本回报率(ROCE):它是什么?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for General Dynamics:
对于那些不确定什么是ROCE的人,它衡量的是公司能够从投入的资本中产生的税前利润。分析师使用以下公式来计算通用动力的ROCE:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
资本利用率 = 利息和税前利润(EBIT) ÷ (总资产 - 流动负债)
0.12 = US$4.5b ÷ (US$57b - US$20b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.12 = US$45亿 ÷ (US$570亿 - US$20亿) (基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。
So, General Dynamics has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.6% generated by the Aerospace & Defense industry.
因此,通用动力的资本回报率为12%。就其自身而言,这是一个标准回报,然而,它远好于航空航天和国防行业产生的9.6%。

Above you can see how the current ROCE for General Dynamics compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering General Dynamics for free.
您可以看到通用动力目前的资本回报率(ROCE)与其过去的资本回报率相比,但从过去能知道的信息有限。如果您愿意,可以免费查看分析师对通用动力的预测。
What Does the ROCE Trend For General Dynamics Tell Us?
通用动力的ROCE趋势告诉我们什么?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at General Dynamics, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 15% over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
当我们查看通用动力的ROCE趋势时,并没有获得太多信心。具体来说,ROCE在过去五年中已降至15%。然而,考虑到投入的资本和营业收入都在增加,这表明该业务目前正在追求增长,导致短期回报受到影响。如果增加的资本能够带来额外回报,那么该业务以及股东在长期内都会受益。
Our Take On General Dynamics' ROCE
我们对通用动力ROCE的看法
While returns have fallen for General Dynamics in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 69% to shareholders over the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
尽管近期通用动力的回报有所下降,但我们欣慰地看到,销售正在增长,并且该业务正在对其运营进行再投资。而该股票在过去五年中为股东带来了69%的可观回报。因此,虽然基本趋势可能已经被投资者考虑,但我们仍然认为这只股票值得进一步关注。
If you're still interested in General Dynamics it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation for GD to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
如果您仍然对通用动力感兴趣,不妨查看我们免费的GD内在价值估算,以了解其是否在其他方面的价格具有吸引力。
While General Dynamics may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
尽管通用动力目前可能没有获得最高的回报,我们汇总了当前回报率超过25%的公司名单。点击这里查看这份免费名单。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。