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There's Reason For Concern Over Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited's (SZSE:002379) Massive 33% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 24 06:54

Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited (SZSE:002379) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 104% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SZSE:002379 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2024

How Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 20% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 9.3% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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