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What Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology Inc.'s (SZSE:002796) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 24 10:39

Despite an already strong run, Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology Inc. (SZSE:002796) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SZSE:002796 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 24th 2024

What Does Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology?

Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.5% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 22% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We find it unexpected that Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Suzhou Shijia Science & Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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