Guangdong Chant Group's (SZSE:002616) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Hikes 10% This Past Week
Guangdong Chant Group's (SZSE:002616) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Hikes 10% This Past Week
It is a pleasure to report that the Guangdong Chant Group Inc. (SZSE:002616) is up 39% in the last quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 33%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
很高興地報告,長青集團(SZSE:002616)在過去一個季度上漲了39%。但是在過去五年中,該股票的表現不佳。事實上,股價下跌了33%,遠低於購買指數基金所能獲得的收益。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥386m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,該公司在過去7天內增加了38600萬人民幣的市值,所以讓我們看看能否判斷出導致股東在過去五年中虧損的原因。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
借用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話: 在短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但在長期內,它是一臺稱重機。 通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,我們可以感受投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間變化的。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Guangdong Chant Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 8.5% each year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 8% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.
在股價下跌的五年中,長青集團的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了8.5%。值得注意的是,股價每年下降8%,與EPS的變化相當接近。這表明,在這段時間內,市場對公司的情緒變化不大。相反,股價的變化反映了每股收益的變化。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖像中查看每股收益隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切值)。
This free interactive report on Guangdong Chant Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份關於長青集團的收益、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點,如果你想進一步調查該股票。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangdong Chant Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -28%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR綜合了任何剝離或折價資本融資的價值,以及任何分紅,前提是分紅被再投資。可以說,TSR提供了股票產生回報的更全面的圖片。實際上,長青集團在過去五年的TSR爲-28%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,顯而易見,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Guangdong Chant Group shareholders gained a total return of 10.0% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 5% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Guangdong Chant Group has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
長青集團的股東在這一年獲得了總回報10.0%。不幸的是,這低於市場回報。不過好的一面是,這仍然是一個增益,並且絕對比過去五年左右每年約5%的損失要好。因此,這可能是業務扭轉局勢的跡象。我發現從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如風險——長青集團有3個警示信號(還有2個令人擔憂的信號),我們認爲你應該了解。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這個免費的公司名單。(提示:很多公司鮮爲人知,而且估值吸引。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。