When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after glancing at the trends within Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing (SZSE:002228), we weren't too hopeful.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = CN¥178m ÷ (CN¥7.9b - CN¥3.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing has an ROCE of 4.3%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 5.2% average generated by the Packaging industry.
In the above chart we have measured Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing for free.
What Can We Tell From Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing's ROCE Trend?
There is reason to be cautious about Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing, given the returns are trending downwards. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 11% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing to turn into a multi-bagger.
Another thing to note, Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 48%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
What We Can Learn From Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. And, the stock has remained flat over the last five years, so investors don't seem too impressed either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.