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The Three-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) (HKG:2689) Stock Falls a Further 5.6% in Past Week

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 23 23:23

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2689) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 61% drop in the share price over that period. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 5.6%.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

Arguably the revenue decline of 4.4% per year has people thinking Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) is shrinking. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

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SEHK:2689 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 24th 2024

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 27% in the last year, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) shareholders lost 14%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 9% doled out over the last five years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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