We Think Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group (SHSE:600662) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group (SHSE:600662) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600662) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过,‘波动性远非与风险同义。’所以,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,很明显你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。和许多其他公司一样,上海外服控股集团有限公司(SHSE:600662)也利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务在业务中起帮助作用,直到企业在新资本或自由现金流方面难以偿还它。最终,如果公司无法履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司不得不以低价筹集新股本,从而永久性地摊薄股东的股份。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。
What Is Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group's Net Debt?
上海外服控股集团的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group had CN¥805.7m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.00b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥9.20b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥8.39b.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示到2024年9月,上海外服控股集团的债务为80570万人民币,较一年前的10亿人民币有所下降。然而,它有92亿人民币的现金抵消这部分债务,导致净现金为83.9亿人民币。
A Look At Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group's Liabilities
上海外服控股集团的负债分析
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group had liabilities of CN¥10.2b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥137.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥9.20b and CN¥2.71b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.59b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,上海外服控股集团在一年内的负债为102亿人民币,且在此之后的负债为13710万元人民币。另一方面,它的现金为92亿人民币,且一年内到期的应收款项价值为27.1亿人民币。因此,它可以自豪地表示,流动资产比总负债多出15.9亿人民币。
This surplus suggests that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这一盈余表明,上海外服控股集团有着保守的资产负债表,可能能够轻松消除其债务。简单来说,上海外服控股集团现金多于债务,说明它能够安全地管理其债务。
But the other side of the story is that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group saw its EBIT decline by 4.9% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
但另一方面,上海外服控股集团的EBIT在过去一年中下降了4.9%。如果收益继续以这种速度下降,公司可能会在管理债务负担方面面临越来越大的困难。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。然而,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定上海外服控股集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这个免费报告,了解分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润无法满足需求。虽然上海外服控股集团的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得我们关注其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们理解其现金余额的积累(或减少)速度。在最近的三年中,上海外服控股集团记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的56%,考虑到自由现金流不包括利息和税,这大约是正常水平。这一自由现金流使公司在适当时候能够很好地偿还债务。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group has net cash of CN¥8.39b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So is Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Foreign Service Holding Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然我们理解对债务感到担忧的投资者,但你应该记住,上海外服控股集团的净现金为83.9亿人民币,流动资产也多于负债。 那么,上海外服控股集团的债务是风险吗?在我们看来似乎不是。 资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每个公司都可能含有表外风险。 我们已经识别出上海外服控股集团的2个警告信号,理解这些信号应成为你投资过程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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